width: 100%; 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 districts, 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 50 states and the District of Columbia. [4] With a Cook PVI value of R+25, Wyoming is the most Republican state in the nation. She defeated Fred Wood (R) and Jarrett Woods (L) in the general election. 48 Florida State University Law Review 61 (2021), Spencer Overton, Power to Regulate Social Media Companies to Prevent Voter Suppression. font-weight: 200; Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Modeled after the Cook Partisan Voting Index, the Hybrid Partisan Voting Index (hPVI) was developed for Wilkerson Public Affairs by Braedon Wilkerson in 2014. The 30th Congressional District of Texas held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 6, 2012, in which incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) won re-election. She defeated Carrie Kelleher (R) and Barbara Robinson (L) in the general election. In the current redistricting cycle, six highly competitive districts in the House of Representatives were drawn. [queries] => Array } Contact our sales team. } line-height: 1.5em; In 2022, it was updated to weigh the most recent presidential election more heavily than the prior election. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. .leg-infobox-right-col { [3], 2010 Joe Biden (D) would have received 77.8% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 21.0%. letter-spacing: .03em; [author__not_in] => Array } That partially reverses a rare spike in competitive seats from the 2020 election. event.srcElement.innerText = '[show]'; [1] [2] Sign up to receive best practices and product announcements. [no_found_rows] => This chart provides a spectrum that analyzes the competitiveness or vulnerability of partisan political districts and subdivisions each cycle. } .votebox_legend .non_result_row { The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. background-color: #db0000; To calculate new 2022 Cook PVI scores for all 435 newly drawn districts, we've used 2016 and 2020 election results by district publicly available via Dave's Redistricting App, a free online mapping tool originally developed by Dave Bradlee that allows any user to draw and evaluate district boundaries. .leg-infobox-party-dot-image { flex-direction: column; [embed] => CNN . The link below will take you to maps of polling places and precincts for each of suburban Cook County's thirty townships. 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index. width: 60%; The PVI is designed to reflect the unique partisan nature of each congressional district. justify-content: center; Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson defeated Tre Pennie and Eric Williams in the general election for U.S. House Texas District 30 on November 3, 2020. [post_author] => 1 font-size: 90%; For more than two decades, the PVI has helped map the trends of our country's shifting political landscape. } . In addition, organizations are working to build relationships with new candidates in districts considered Toss Ups by PVI ratings, 2023 Quorum Analytics, Inc. All Rights Reserved. If you are using a content blocker, check to see that you have not globally turned off Javascript. .leg-hnt-leadership { 7, 2022, North Carolina Republicans Ask SCOTUS To Decimate Voting Rights in Every State, Slate, Feb. 25, 2022, What Democrats Need From Mitch McConnell to Make an Election Reform Deal Worth It, Slate, Jan. 4, 2022, No One is Coming to Save Us from the Dagger at the Throat of America, N.Y. Times, Jan. 7, 2022, Nonprofit Law as a Tool to Kill What Remains of Campaign Finance Law: Reluctant Lessons from Ellen Aprill, 46Loyola of Los Angeles Law Review (forthcoming 2023) (festschrift symposium honoring Ellen Aprill), draft available, https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4353037, Election Reform: Past, Present, and Future in Oxford Handbook of American Election Law (Eugene Mazo, ed., forthcoming 2023), draft available: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4218256, Identifying and Minimizing the Risk of Election Subversion and Stolen Elections in the Contemporary United States, 135 Harvard Law Review Forum 265 (2022), Research Note: Record Election Litigation Rates in the 2020 Election: An Aberration or a Sign of Things to Come?, Election Law Journal, https://www.liebertpub.com/doi/epdf/10.1089/elj.2021.0050 (2022), Optimism and Despair About a 2020 Election Meltdown and Beyond, 100 Boston University Law Review Online 298 (2020) (part of symposium on my book, Election Meltdown), Three Pathologies of American Voting Rights Illuminated by the COVID-19 Pandemic, and How to Treat and Cure Them,Election Law Journal (2020), The Democracy Index: Why Our Election System Is Failing and How to Fix Itby Heather K. Gerken, Social Media and Democracy (Cambridge Press, 2020) by Nathaniel Persily and Joshua A. Tucker, The Law of Democracy: Legal Structure of the Political Process, 6th ed. } flex-direction: column; text-align: center; height: 22px; [tag_slug__and] => Array } table.census-table { 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201, House Rating Change: Slotkin Senate Run Moves MI-07 to Toss Up, Michigan Senate: With Slotkin Announcement, Democrats Look to Avoid Primary, Indiana Senate: Primary War Averted After Daniels Passes, Banks Sews Up Support, Montana Senate: To Democrats Relief, Tester Saddles Up For Reelection. 1521 (2018). } There were no incumbents in this race. float: left; color: #0645ad; Stakeholder Management & Engagement Software, News: Announcing the Launch of Quorum PAC, Government Relations Strategic Plan Template, Download & Build an Effective Stakeholder Engagement Matrix, Three Examples of Effective Government Relations Strategy, Three Examples of Successful Public Affairs Strategy, Seven Examples of Effective Grassroots Advocacy Campaigns, Five Examples of Stakeholder Engagement Strategy, 9 Innovations for Your Public Affairs Strategy. Follow the news on key issue areas. [has_or_relation:protected] => [post_parent] => .votebox_bp_logo { } This backup commission, established in 1948, comprises the following members:[17], The Texas Constitution requires that state legislative districts be contiguous and "that they preserve whole counties when population mandates permit. } ( margin-bottom: 5px; box-sizing: border-box; letter-spacing: .04em; max-width: 75px; ( Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+27. ) [feed] => ( .leg-infobox-block { ( .votebox-results-cell--number { July 13, 2022 | The Cook Political Report Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. ) } Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. ) .results_row { clear: both; } overflow: hidden; & Mary L. Rev. Beginning with this decade, we're making a slight formula change to how we calculate PVI scores: instead of using a 50/50 mix of the two most recent presidential elections to assess partisanship as we've done in the past, we're switching to a 75/25 weighting in favor of the more recent presidential election. Incumbent Eddie Bernice Johnson (D) defeated Max Koch, III (L) and Eric LeMonte Williams (I) in the general election. What the Critics Get Incredibly Wrong About the Collins-Manchin Election Bill, Its Hard to Overstate the Danger of the Voting Case the Supreme Court Just Agreed to Hear, No One is Above the Law, and that Starts with Donald Trump, The Jan. 6 Committee Should Be Looking Ahead to Election Threats in 2024. The results have been certified. .mw-body #mw-content-text th.votebox-results-cell--text { The eight races that the CPI got wrong are indicators of North Carolina's rapidly changing landscape. Additionally, in Washingtons 13th Legislative District, Republican candidates won an average 64.73% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (64.73%) against the average statewide share of the same (45.43%), the district voted approximately 19 percentage points more Republican, or R+19.Following the presidential and gubernatorial elections, presidential and gubernatorial results are compiled to generate Hybrid Partisan Voting Index scores for statewide offices, congressional districts, and political districts or subdivisions including state legislative districts, counties, cities, and precincts. } And after redistricting, the median House seat (Michigan's 8th CD) retains a modest skew of R+1, virtually unchanged from the old map. More podcast episodes , Unfortunately, the Biggest Election Case of the Supreme Court Term Could Soon Be Moot,Slate, February 6, 2023, Meta is Bringing Trump Back to Facebook. Save time and grow faster with modern, easy-to-use tools. Copyright 2023 by Cook Political Report. overflow-x: scroll; top: -1px; } 2311 Wilson Blvd Third Floor, Arlington, VA 22201 | Contact Us. This tool reflects the political balance of power in North Carolina. margin: 5px auto; To ensure consistency, all 2021 (pre-redistricting) and 2022 (post-redistricting) PVI scores cited in this report reflect the new formula. [hour] => The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. ) 2020-23, 53 U.C. if(document.getElementsByClassName("reference").length==0) if(document.getElementById('Footnotes')!==null) document.getElementById('Footnotes').parentNode.style.display = 'none'; Ballotpedia features 395,432 encyclopedic articles written and curated by our professional staff of editors, writers, and researchers. The Cook Partisan Voting Index, abbreviated Cook PVI, CPVI, or PVI, is a measurement of how strongly a United States congressional district or U.S. state leans toward the Democratic or Republican Party, compared to the nation as a whole, based on how that district or state voted in the previous two presidential elections. The median House seat is Flint, Michigan's 8th CD, where Democratic Rep. Dan Kildee is seeking reelection, with a PVI score of R+1. vertical-align: top; The Cook Political Report first introduced the PVI in August 1997 to better gauge the competitiveness of each district using the 1992 and 1996 presidential elections as a baseline. The most Democratic-leaning state to have a Republican senator is Maine (D+2 PVI), represented by Susan Collins. color: #888; background-color: #334aab; Calculations are rounded to the nearest whole percent within .5 a percentage point. The Hybrid Partisan Voting Index was introduced as an objective measurement to better gauge the competitiveness of political districts and subdivisions using presidential and gubernatorial elections as a baseline. font-style: italic; The result is a letter (D or R) followed by a number, indicating the extent to which each district leans one way or the other. Mitch McConnells Two Most Important Votes, Christie Says GOP Must Call Biden a Liar , Solicitor General May Have Saved Student Loan Plan, Air Force Leaders Fired for Failing Nuclear Safety, Video Shows Drag Bill Author Dressed in Drag, Christie Says Grand Juror Damaged Case Against Trump, CPAC No Longer a Must-Stop for Republican Candidates, Comer Suggests Beau Biden Should Have Been Indicted, Trump Campaign Sought Help from Proud Boys, Kinzinger Launches Campaign Against Extremism, Florida Republican Would Ban Democratic Party, Havana Syndrome Not Caused by Energy Weapon, McCarthy Aide Meets with Mother of Rioter, Garland Promises Free Rein for Prosecutors, Trump Plans First Iowa Trip of 2024 Campaign, Trumps Ambassador Slams Netanyahus Judicial Plan, Biden Aides Mull Economic Aid After Derailment, Democratic Leaders Ask Murdoch to Stop Fox Lies. display: block; [4][5], The Cook Political Report published its first Partisan Voter Index (PVI) in August 1997. The PVI is developed using vote data from the most recent presidential election as well as vote data from the previous presidential election. margin-bottom: -2px !important; .leg-hnt-leadership > div { [posts_per_page] => 10 [post_parent__in] => Array First introduced in 1997, the Cook PVI measures how each state and district performs at the presidential level compared to the nation as a whole. top: -5px; Stanford Law SchoolView posts , Sudler Family Professor The top five finishers, not just one Republican and one Democrat, qualify for the general election. .results_table { [query_vars] => Array border-bottom: 1px solid #aaa; Track legislation, regulations, and conversation on Capitol Hill. Click here to contact us for media inquiries, and please donate here to support our continued expansion. The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House Texas District 30 on March 1, 2022. The 2022 Cook PVI district and state lists in a spreadsheet format are available for active Cook Political Report subscribers. Understand legislative developments in local cities and counties. float: right; The most Democratic district in the nation is California's12th, based in Oakland, with a PVI value of D+40. flex: 0 0 175px; 21-07, CLC on The Supreme Courts Role in the Degradation of U.S. Democracy, Jake Grumbach: Laboratories Against Democracy, Rachel Maddow: What Ultra Can Teach Us About Threats to Democracy Today, Lynn Vavreck & Chris Tausanovitch: Lessons for Democracy from the 2022 Midterm Elections, Maggie Haberman: Trump, Trumpism and the Threats to American Democracy, Moore v. Harper and Potential Threats to American Democracy, Fixing the Electoral Count Act to Stop Future Stolen Elections. For the 2022 dataset, that means that the 2020 result in each state district is weighted three times as heavily as the 2016 result. Four years ago, Lori Lightfoot captured almost 74% of the vote en route to an historic election as Chicago's mayor. } [table_aliases:protected] => Array display: block; On November 7, 2000, Eddie Bernice Johnson won re-election to the United States House. } .inner_percentage.Republican { background: #4c4c4c; } .votebox-results-cell--check { table.census-table tr { margin: 0 5px; [m] => Since we first launched the Cook PVI in 1997, there's been a dramatic increase in "straight-ticket" voting, with fewer voters choosing candidates of different parties for the White House and Congress. [title] => display: flex; [1][2], The index is updated after each presidential election cycle, as well as after congressional redistricting. .votebox { PVIs are calculated by comparing a district's average Democrat or Republican Party share of the two-party presidential and gubernatorial votes in the past presidential and gubernatorial elections as compared to the states average share of the same.The statewide average in 2012 was approximately 54.57% Democrat to 45.43% Republican.For example, in Washingtons 43rd Legislative District, Democrat candidates won an average 85.85% of the two-party share in the 2012 presidential and gubernatorial elections, respectively.Comparing the average of those two results (85.85%) against the average statewide share of the same (54.57%), the district voted approximately 31 percentage points more Democrat, or D+31. She defeated Travis Johnson (R) and Ed Rankin (L) in the general election. position: relative; Ballotpedia does not curate or endorse these articles. [8], 2000 Goddard Media LLC | Privacy Policy, Political Wire is a registered trademark of Goddard Media LLC. The number reflects the strength of that partisan preference in rounded percentage points. } .leg-infobox-flex-box-col { padding-right: 2px; } padding-left: 10px; of Constitutional Law, This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 27 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Now that all 50 states have finalized new lines for the 2022 elections, the Cook Political Report is pleased to introduce the 25th Anniversary edition of the Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI) for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts, reflecting new post-redistricting boundaries. Voters are also notified of their polling place address in a mailing prior to the election. 2020-23, GWU Law School Public Law Research Paper No. .infobox caption { ( [4], The PVIs for congressional districts are calculated based on the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections. [post_type] => resources display: table; The Cook Partisan Voter Index, first published in 1997, rates the degree to which a congressional district leans Republican or Democrat by comparing the district's voting history in presidential elections to the nation as a whole. [post_content] =>. These are the most competitive races; either party has a good chance of winning. [meta_table] => display: inline; ( margin-top: 5px; background-color: #dac113; The release of the 2017 PVI ratings reveal powerful insights into the post-Trump electorate. Texas' final congressional redistricting plan was approved by the Texas Legislature and signed by Gov. Bruce E. Cain, Wendy K. Tam Cho, Yan Y. Liu&Emily R. Zhang,A Reasonable Bias Approach to Gerrymandering: Using Automated Plan Generation to Evaluate Redistricting Proposals, 59 Wm. "[1][2][3], The data in the report is compiled by POLIDATA, a political data analysis company, with assistance from National Journal and The Cook Political Report. margin-top: 0px; L. Rev. border: 1px solid #aaa; In the Senate, the most Republican-leaning state to have a Democratic senator is West Virginia (R+22 PVI), represented by Joe Manchin. margin: 8px auto; How does redistricting in Texas work? Thus, Partisan Propensity Index, or PPI, is defined as the percentage chance that the Democrat would have won and open-seat race for Congress in a particular district given the conditions. display: block; flex-wrap: wrap; .leg-hnt-responsive-columns { vertical-align: middle !important; [meta_query] => WP_Meta_Query Object padding-left: 0; Source. font-size: 16px; padding-left: 16px; [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary * Includes an independent senator who caucuses with the Democrats. [resource-type] => public-affairs-dictionary display: block; } vertical-align: middle; Jasmine Crockett defeated Jane Hamilton in the Democratic primary runoff for U.S. House Texas District 30 on May 24, 2022. } ) The Cook Political Report's Partisan Voter Index (PVI) is a measurement tool that scores each congressional district based on how strongly it leans toward one political party. margin-right: 10px; The Cook Political Report introduced the post-2020 edition of the Partisan Voter Index for all 50 states and 435 congressional districts.. Here's how it works: "A Partisan Voter Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the .